Chelsea 5-1 Chesterfield - FA Cup Third Round - Football

Chesterfield are unlikely to face some of the biggest names that Chelsea have to offer, but a mixture of fringe and youthful Blues players should still get the job done convincingly. The visitors deserve immense credit for navigating the unforgiving winter period as well as they did, but the FA Cup journey will likely come to an end for Rowe and co here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 80.18%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 5.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.28%) and 3-0 (12.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Chesterfield
80.18%	14.13%	5.69%

Both teams to score 35.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.38%

44.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.01%

66.99%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.04%

8.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.44%

30.56%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.51%

61.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.61%

91.39%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 80.16%

Chesterfield 5.69%

Draw 14.13%

Chelsea	Draw	Chesterfield
2-0 @ 16.03% 1-0 @ 13.28% 3-0 @ 12.89% 2-1 @ 7.8% 4-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-1 @ 3.78% 5-0 @ 3.76% 5-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.53% 6-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.79% Total : 80.16%	1-1 @ 6.46% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.27% Total : 14.13%	0-1 @ 2.68% 1-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 1.44% Total : 5.69%

How Chelsea could line up against Chesterfield

Chelsea boss Tuchel talks up importance of Sarr

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11

Premier League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Leeds United Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Leicester City Leicester	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Manchester City Man City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Manchester United Man Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Newcastle United Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	West Ham United West Ham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0