We said: Chelsea 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton certainly are a tough nut to crack away from home, and the Seagulls may feel that Wednesday provides the prime opportunity to end their barren scoreless run in this fixture.
Tuchel's side have been far from convincing at Stamford Bridge in recent weeks and continue to be bedevilled by fitness woes, but the bountiful options for change should help to settle a tight contest in Chelsea's favour.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 66.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
