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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
CP
Burnley
0 - 2
Crystal Palace
 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schlupp (22'), Mitchell (90+4')
Edouard (16'), Ayew (45+3'), Guehi (45+3'), Lerma (90'), Andersen (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 3-0 Burnley
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCrystal Palace
44.57% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03) 24.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 31.33% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.46% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)42.81% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.21% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)19.4% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)51.22% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (0.0020000000000095 0)26.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)61.33%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 44.57%
    Crystal Palace 31.33%
    Draw 24.09%
BurnleyDrawCrystal Palace
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 44.57%
1-1 @ 11.16%
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Burnley
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-0 Burnley
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Burnley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-2 Spurs
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Crystal Palace
Tuesday, September 26 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League

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