SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Burnley |
26% ( -0.02) | 25.41% ( -0.02) | 48.59% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( 0.06) | 51.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( 0.05) | 73.38% ( -0.05) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% ( 0.02) | 34.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.67% ( 0.02) | 71.33% ( -0.02) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( 0.04) | 21.25% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.84% ( 0.07) | 54.16% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 26% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 48.58% |
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