Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
