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AL
Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
WL
Arsenal
5 - 0
Wolves
Xhaka (11', 14'), Saka (27'), Jesus (58'), Kiwior (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Everton
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 70.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 11.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
70.99% (-0.012 -0.01) 17.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 11.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.07% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)37.93% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.81% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)60.18% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)9.48% (0.0059000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)31.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.16%42.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)79.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 70.99%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 11.76%
    Draw 17.25%
ArsenalDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-0 @ 11.27%
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 70.99%
1-1 @ 8.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 17.25%
0-1 @ 3.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.14%
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 11.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-3 Brighton
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Chelsea
Tuesday, May 2 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 26 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-3 Southampton
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Everton
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Wolves
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 6-0 Wolves
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Crystal Palace
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38285594336189
2Arsenal38266688434584
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd38236958431575
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381914568333571
5Liverpool381910975472867
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381881272531962
7Aston Villa38187135146561
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs38186147063760
9Brentford381514958461259
10Fulham38157165553252
11Crystal Palace381112154049-945
12Chelsea381111163847-944
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38118193158-2741
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham38117204255-1340
15Bournemouth38116213771-3439
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest38911183868-3038
17Everton38812183457-2336
RLeicester CityLeicester3897225168-1734
RLeeds UnitedLeeds38710214878-3031
RSouthampton3867253673-3725
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