SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
42.54% ( 0.02) | 26.29% ( 0) | 31.18% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.62% ( -0.02) | 52.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% ( -0.01) | 74.06% ( 0.02) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% | 24.4% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.18% ( -0) | 58.82% ( 0) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( -0.02) | 31.09% ( 0.02) |
