SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 6 | Manchester United | 38 | 0 | 58 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 14.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Everton |
65.46% ( 0.22) | 20.32% ( 0.22) | 14.21% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( -1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( -1.9) | 46.07% ( 1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( -1.82) | 68.37% ( 1.82) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.74% ( -0.52) | 13.26% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.95% ( -1.05) | 40.04% ( 1.05) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.78% ( -1.81) | 44.22% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.7% ( -1.52) | 80.3% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Everton |
| 2-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.71)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.83% Total : 65.45% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.32% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 55 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 41 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
| 7 | Fulham | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 35 |
| 9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 25 |
| 14 | Leicester CityLeicester | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 24 |
| 16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 22 |
| 18 | Everton | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 21 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 21 |
| 20 | Southampton | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 18 |
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