Chelsea have not always produced the goods against Arsenal on a consistent basis down the years, but the respective squad depths and confidence of the two sides will certainly come into play here.
Arteta's side have lost their golden touch in front of goal since the international break, and the Spaniard's system is far less effective when his first-choice XI are not all there, so we can only picture Tuchel's side running out comfortable winners via another two-goal margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an Arsenal win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
