SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 14.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.7%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Larne |
14.9% ( 0.01) | 22.35% ( 0.01) | 62.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.99% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( -0.03) | 52.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% ( -0.03) | 74.53% ( 0.03) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.6% ( -0.01) | 47.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.21% ( -0.01) | 82.78% ( 0.01) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( -0.02) | 16.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.03% ( -0.03) | 45.96% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.06% Total : 14.9% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 14.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 12.7% 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.47% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 62.74% |
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