SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
48.32% ( -0.06) | 25.49% ( 0.01) | 26.2% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.26% ( -0.01) | 51.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( -0.01) | 73.51% ( 0.01) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( -0.03) | 21.43% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.56% ( -0.05) | 54.44% ( 0.05) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.03) | 34.52% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% ( 0.04) | 71.24% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.31% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.2% |
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