SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders |
29.44% ( 3.42) | 25.4% ( 0.27) | 45.16% ( -3.69) |
| Both teams to score 54.04% ( 1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.55% ( 0.97) | 49.45% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( 0.86) | 71.48% ( -0.87) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.18% ( 3.13) | 30.82% ( -3.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.9% ( 3.53) | 67.09% ( -3.53) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( -1.22) | 21.88% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.87% ( -1.89) | 55.13% ( 1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.64)2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.46)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.36)Other @ 3% Total : 29.44% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.82) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.94)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.64)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.31)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 45.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 37 |
| 2 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 29 |
| 3 | LarneLarne | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 29 |
| 4 | CrusadersCrusaders | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 28 |
| 5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | Loughgall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 13 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
| 10 | GlenavonGlenavon | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 10 |
| 11 | Newry City AFC | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 10 |
| 12 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 9 |
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