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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Glentoran
2 - 2
Crusaders
Donnelly (21'), McCartan (67' pen.)
Burns (24')
Burns (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Larmour (16'), Owens (88')
Lecky (66'), Forsythe (67')
Forsythe (89'), Forsythe (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Glentoran
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
GlentoranDrawCrusaders
34.8% (-2.983 -2.98) 27.7% (-0.138 -0.14) 37.51% (3.12 3.12)
Both teams to score 48.67% (0.458 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.85% (0.55 0.55)57.15% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.98% (0.436 0.44)78.02% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-1.583 -1.58)31.08% (1.581 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (-1.889 -1.89)67.4% (1.888 1.89)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (2.234 2.23)29.39% (-2.235 -2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (2.65 2.65)65.38% (-2.653 -2.65)
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 34.79%
    Crusaders 37.5%
    Draw 27.69%
GlentoranDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.365 -0.37)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.715 -0.72)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.399 -0.4)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.79%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.13% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 11.18% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 8% (0.456 0.46)
0-2 @ 6.85% (0.666 0.67)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.37 0.37)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.423 0.42)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.141 0.14)
1-4 @ 1% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 37.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Glentoran
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 0-1 Glentoran
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-2 Larne
Friday, August 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Glentoran
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-1 Gzira (13-14 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gzira 2-2 Glentoran
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 9-0 Carrick
Tuesday, August 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 1-2 Crusaders
Friday, August 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Rosenborg 3-2 Crusaders
Thursday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Crusaders 2-2 Rosenborg
Thursday, July 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield14121136142237
2CliftonvilleCliftonville149233172429
3LarneLarne1485129101929
4CrusadersCrusaders1484233122128
5GlentoranGlentoran1473424141024
6ColeraineColeraine146262026-620
7Loughgall145362127-618
8Carrick RangersCarrick144191737-2013
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena143110921-1210
10GlenavonGlenavon1431101432-1810
11Newry City AFC1431101537-2210
12Dungannon SwiftsDungannon141671729-129
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