SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Linfield |
19.23% ( 2.45) | 22.83% ( 1.72) | 57.94% ( -4.17) |
| Both teams to score 51% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.95% ( -3.51) | 48.05% ( 3.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% ( -3.31) | 70.22% ( 3.31) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.93% ( 0.77) | 39.07% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.21% ( 0.72) | 75.79% ( -0.71) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( -2.52) | 16.3% ( 2.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.13% ( -4.78) | 45.87% ( 4.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.93) 2-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.49)2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.49)3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.28% Total : 19.23% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.84) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.88)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.68) 0-2 @ 10.47% ( -0.31)1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.79)1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.6)0-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.66)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.55)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.23)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.36)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.31)Other @ 2.11% Total : 57.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 37 |
| 2 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 29 |
| 3 | LarneLarne | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 29 |
| 4 | CrusadersCrusaders | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 28 |
| 5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | Loughgall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 13 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
| 10 | GlenavonGlenavon | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 10 |
| 11 | Newry City AFC | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 10 |
| 12 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 9 |
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