SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Ballymena United |
51.21% ( -1.33) | 24.2% ( -0.01) | 24.58% ( 1.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( 1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.25% ( 1.3) | 47.75% ( -1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% ( 1.19) | 69.94% ( -1.19) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.35% ( -0.02) | 18.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.03% ( -0.03) | 49.96% ( 0.03) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( 1.9) | 33.72% ( -1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.62% ( 2.01) | 70.38% ( -2.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.59) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.27% Total : 51.21% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | CrusadersCrusaders | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 27 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 6 | 23 | 26 |
| 4 | LarneLarne | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 26 |
| 5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
| 7 | Loughgall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 13 |
| 9 | Newry City AFC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 10 |
| 10 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | GlenavonGlenavon | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
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