Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Switzerland
55.08% ( 0.22)	24.4% ( -0.15)	20.52% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 48.27% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.28% (

0.47)

52.72% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.64% (

0.4)

74.35% (

-0.4)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.95% (

0.27)

19.05% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.36% (

0.44)

50.63% (

-0.44)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.63% (

0.2)

40.37% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.01% (

0.18)

76.99% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Spain 55.07%

Switzerland 20.52%

Draw 24.4%

Spain	Draw	Switzerland
1-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 55.07%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.52%