Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for England has a probability of 28.62% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest England win is 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.25%).