Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for France has a probability of 30.32% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest France win is 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).