SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Serbia | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Switzerland | Draw | Serbia |
47.51% ( 0.12) | 25.74% ( -0.03) | 26.74% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.09% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( 0.04) | 52.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( 0.04) | 74.09% ( -0.04) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.07) | 22.06% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% ( 0.11) | 55.4% ( -0.12) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% ( -0.06) | 34.44% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.85% ( -0.06) | 71.15% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Switzerland | Draw | Serbia |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.74% |
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