SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Torquay United |
66.99% ( 1.52) | 19.24% ( -0.48) | 13.76% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% ( -0.09) | 42.29% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.31% ( -0.09) | 64.69% ( 0.1) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.3% ( 0.39) | 11.69% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.21% ( 0.82) | 36.79% ( -0.82) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.48% ( -1.53) | 42.51% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.12% ( -1.34) | 78.88% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Torquay United |
| 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.63% Total : 66.97% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.24% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.48% Total : 13.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| P | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| R | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
