SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Halifax Town |
35.73% ( 0.08) | 27.05% ( -0.02) | 37.21% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.41% ( 0.09) | 54.59% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.06% ( 0.07) | 75.93% ( -0.07) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( 0.09) | 29.22% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.83% ( 0.11) | 65.16% ( -0.12) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( 0) | 28.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.95% ( 0.01) | 64.05% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.74% Total : 37.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 80 | 29 | 51 | 77 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 27 | 50 | 72 |
| 3 | Woking | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 58 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 53 |
| 5 | Barnet | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 53 |
| 6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Bromley | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 44 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 41 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 38 |
| 14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 36 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 33 |
| 17 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 18 | York City | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 32 |
| 19 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 32 |
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
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