SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Welling United |
51.9% ( 0.01) | 23.6% ( -0.01) | 24.49% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( 0.01) | 45.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% ( 0.02) | 67.59% ( -0.02) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( 0.01) | 17.44% ( -0.01) |
