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National League South | Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels
1 - 1
Aveley
Swift (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Odelusi (45' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Chelmsford City
Monday, November 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawAveley
42.26% (0.119 0.12) 26.14% (0.012 0.01) 31.6% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.72% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)51.64% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)73.43% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (0.01700000000001 0.02)24.21% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)58.56% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (-0.139 -0.14)30.43% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (-0.165 -0.16)66.63% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 42.26%
    Aveley 31.6%
    Draw 26.14%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawAveley
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 42.26%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.6%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Hampton
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 4-1 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Chelmsford City
Monday, November 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-0 Aveley
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, November 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Weston
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Aveley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-4 Aveley
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil22145342261647
2Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd2213184133840
3Hampton & RichmondHampton2211653427739
4Maidstone UnitedMaidstone2211653328539
5Worthing2211474435937
6Aveley2310583428635
7Braintree TownBraintree2297635231234
8Bath City2297639281134
9Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels239683530533
10Chelmsford CityChelmsford City228863025532
11Farnborough TownFarnborough237973940-130
12Weston-super-MareWeston219393234-230
13DartfordDartford228593533229
14Chippenham TownChippenham227873232029
15St Albans CitySt Albans City2292113237-529
16Taunton TownTaunton Town197752524128
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.237792531-628
18Slough TownSlough207583733426
19Truro CityTruro City207493032-225
20Weymouth225982432-824
21Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2365122941-1223
22Welling UnitedWelling United2248102842-1420
23Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville2343162851-2315
24Dover AthleticDover Athletic22110112240-1813
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