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National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park
Farnborough
4 - 1
Tonbridge Angels
Pendlebury (31', 85'), Folivi (45+2'), Hall (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Meade (71')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Bath City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawTonbridge Angels
55.88% (-0.116 -0.12) 22.71% (0.032 0.03) 21.42% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)44.66% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)67.02% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)15.82% (0.051 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)44.99% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.061000000000007 0.06)34.88% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.064 0.06)71.62% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 55.87%
    Tonbridge Angels 21.42%
    Draw 22.7%
Farnborough TownDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 55.87%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 21.42%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Farnborough
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-2 Slough
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-0 Farnborough
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Bath City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-3 Taunton Town
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Braintree
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil14102228161232
2Aveley16102426141232
3Hampton & RichmondHampton168352422227
4Bath City157442721625
5Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd158162622425
6Farnborough TownFarnborough156632719824
7Maidstone UnitedMaidstone146621913624
8Taunton TownTaunton Town156632019124
9Worthing147252220223
10DartfordDartford166462520522
11Chelmsford CityChelmsford City155731914522
12St Albans CitySt Albans City157172019122
13Braintree TownBraintree155642215721
14Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.155642020021
15Chippenham TownChippenham155552222020
16Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels165471924-519
17Weymouth164661721-418
18Weston-super-MareWeston165382029-918
19Truro CityTruro City144462120116
20Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne164482229-716
21Slough TownSlough143472126-513
22Welling UnitedWelling United152671324-1112
23Dover AthleticDover Athletic151771629-1310
24Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville1513111634-186
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