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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Worthing |
36.33% ( -0.58) | 24.97% ( 0.07) | 38.69% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.41% ( -0.35) | 45.58% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.09% ( -0.34) | 67.91% ( 0.33) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.48) | 24.6% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.9% ( -0.67) | 59.09% ( 0.67) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( 0.11) | 23.34% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.7% ( 0.16) | 57.3% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 |
| 2 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 37 |
| 3 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Aveley | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 34 |
| 5 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Bath City | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 33 |
| 7 | Worthing | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
| 9 | Braintree TownBraintree | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 30 |
| 10 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Farnborough TownFarnborough | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 29 |
| 12 | DartfordDartford | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps. | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
| 14 | Weston-super-MareWeston | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 27 |
| 15 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 25 |
| 16 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
| 18 | Weymouth | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 23 |
| 19 | Slough TownSlough | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 22 |
| 20 | Truro CityTruro City | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 22 |
| 21 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 20 |
| 22 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 19 |
| 23 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 21 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 12 |
| 24 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 9 |
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