MX23RW : Saturday, March 11 21:14:40
SM
Fulham vs. Arsenal: 16 hrs 45 mins
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK at Stonebridge Road
Ebbsfleet
1 - 2
Tonbridge Angels
Monlouis (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Swift (10'), Miles (62')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hampton 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 72.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 10.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawTonbridge Angels
72.72% (0.27199999999999 0.27) 17.21% (0.147 0.15) 10.07% (-0.425 -0.43)
Both teams to score 45.65% (-2.154 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3% (-1.982 -1.98)42.7% (1.977 1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.89% (-2 -2)65.1% (1.994 1.99)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68% (-0.45599999999999 -0.46)10.31% (0.4511 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.26% (-1.038 -1.04)33.74% (1.033 1.03)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.9% (-2.135 -2.14)49.1% (2.129 2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.97% (-1.565 -1.57)84.03% (1.561 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 72.71%
    Tonbridge Angels 10.07%
    Draw 17.21%
EbbsfleetDrawTonbridge Angels
2-0 @ 13.06% (0.64 0.64)
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.77 0.77)
3-0 @ 9.9% (0.298 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.213 -0.21)
4-0 @ 5.62% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.202 -0.2)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.237 -0.24)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.165 -0.17)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 72.71%
1-1 @ 8.18% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.31% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.21%
0-1 @ 3.6% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 2.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 10.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hampton 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Halifax
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-1 St Albans City
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 4-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Chippenham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League South
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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ebbsfleet38267589395085
2DartfordDartford37217969402970
3Oxford CityOxford City381713866462064
4Braintree TownBraintree371712854421263
5Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville361861266511560
6Worthing381612107061960
7Chelmsford CityChelmsford City371781247361159
8Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels38177145756158
9St Albans CitySt Albans City361671356431355
10Bath City371510125245755
11Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne38174176360355
12Farnborough Town34158114335853
13Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead371310143946-749
14Dover AthleticDover Athletic371111153750-1344
15Slough TownSlough371110164664-1843
16Welling UnitedWelling United361013134352-942
17Hampton & RichmondHampton36108184660-1438
18Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet36115205174-2338
19Taunton TownTaunton Town31910123234-237
20Chippenham TownChippenham34813133648-1237
21Cheshunt3699184260-1836
22Weymouth3595214262-2032
23Concord Rangers3287173156-2531
24Hungerford TownHungerford3578203148-1729
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