SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
42.7% ( 0.04) | 25.28% ( -0.01) | 32.01% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% ( 0.03) | 47.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( 0.03) | 70.05% ( -0.03) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% ( 0.03) | 22.35% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.16% ( 0.04) | 55.84% ( -0.04) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( -0) | 28.27% ( 0) |
