SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
43.49% ( -0.62) | 26.35% ( 0.15) | 30.17% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% ( -0.38) | 53.02% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% ( -0.33) | 74.61% ( 0.33) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -0.47) | 24.21% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.45% ( -0.67) | 58.56% ( 0.67) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( 0.14) | 32.14% ( -0.14) |
