SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Fylde |
38.56% ( -0.02) | 26.86% ( -0) | 34.57% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.23% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.08% ( 0.01) | 53.91% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( 0.01) | 75.36% ( -0.01) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( -0.01) | 27.22% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.36% ( -0.01) | 62.63% ( 0.01) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( 0.02) | 29.61% ( -0.02) |
