SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Fylde win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Fylde |
59.38% ( 0.31) | 23.34% ( -0.11) | 17.28% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.05% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.14% ( 0.13) | 52.85% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.53% ( 0.11) | 74.47% ( -0.11) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% ( 0.16) | 17.5% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52% ( 0.27) | 48% ( -0.27) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.82% ( -0.17) | 44.18% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.73% ( -0.14) | 80.27% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% 2-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.38% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 17.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 54 |
| 2 | Fylde | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 52 |
| 3 | Brackley Town | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 51 |
| 4 | Darlington | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 51 |
| 5 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 47 |
| 6 | Chester FCChester | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 46 |
| 7 | Chorley | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 39 |
| 11 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 38 |
| 12 | SouthportSouthport | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 37 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 36 |
| 15 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 35 |
| 16 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 31 |
| 17 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 | Leamington FCLeamington | 26 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 29 |
| 19 | Buxton | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 29 |
| 20 | Kettering TownKettering | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 29 |
| 21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 27 |
| 22 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 |
| 23 | Blyth Spartans | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 23 |
| 24 | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 45 | -25 | 18 |
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