SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Fylde |
40.78% ( 2.76) | 26.1% ( -0.51) | 33.12% ( -2.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( 1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( 1.77) | 51.05% ( -1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( 1.53) | 72.91% ( -1.53) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( 2.31) | 24.7% ( -2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.75% ( 3.13) | 59.24% ( -3.12) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( -0.55) | 29.12% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.95% ( -0.68) | 65.05% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.43)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.53)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.79) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.58)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fylde | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 71 |
| 2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 68 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 37 | 17 | 15 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 61 |
| 5 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 58 |
| 6 | Darlington | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 49 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Chorley | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
| 8 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 62 | 58 | 4 | 56 |
| 9 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 52 |
| 10 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 49 |
| 11 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 49 |
| 12 | Buxton | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 49 |
| 13 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 49 |
| 14 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 46 |
| 15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | SouthportSouthport | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 44 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 44 |
| 18 | Kettering TownKettering | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 42 |
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 41 |
| 20 | Leamington FCLeamington | 36 | 8 | 17 | 11 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 41 |
| 21 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 38 |
| 22 | Blyth Spartans | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 37 |
| 23 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 34 |
| 24 | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 38 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 25 |
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