SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
53.74% ( 0.03) | 24.01% ( -0.02) | 22.25% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% ( 0.06) | 49.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( 0.06) | 71.31% ( -0.05) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( 0.04) | 18.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.71% ( 0.06) | 49.29% ( -0.06) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( 0.02) | 36.66% ( -0.02) |
