SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Southport had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
36.18% ( 0.03) | 26.48% ( -0.01) | 37.34% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% ( 0.03) | 52.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( 0.02) | 73.92% ( -0.02) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.03) | 27.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( 0.04) | 63.38% ( -0.04) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0) | 27.11% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.49% ( -0) | 62.5% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.18% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.34% |
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