SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
45.83% ( 0.21) | 26.37% ( -0.01) | 27.8% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.78% ( -0.07) | 54.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% ( -0.06) | 75.62% ( 0.05) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( 0.07) | 23.6% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.32% ( 0.11) | 57.68% ( -0.11) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( -0.2) | 34.55% ( 0.19) |
