SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 70.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Southport had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Southport |
70.53% ( 0.16) | 17.67% ( -0.08) | 11.81% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.16% ( 0.15) | 39.84% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.8% ( 0.15) | 62.2% ( -0.15) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.9% ( 0.08) | 10.1% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.74% ( 0.18) | 33.26% ( -0.17) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.96% ( -0.03) | 44.04% ( 0.04) |
