SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | AFC Telford United |
57.38% ( -0.1) | 24.07% ( 0.04) | 18.55% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.22% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.16% ( -0.07) | 53.84% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.69% ( -0.06) | 75.31% ( 0.06) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.4% ( -0.06) | 18.6% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.11% ( -0.11) | 49.89% ( 0.11) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.79% ( 0.03) | 43.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.53% ( 0.03) | 79.47% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 18.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Fylde | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | Brackley Town | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 58 |
| 4 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 57 |
| 5 | Chester FCChester | 33 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 56 |
| 6 | Darlington | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 56 |
| 7 | Chorley | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 |
| 8 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 47 |
| 10 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 47 |
| 11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 45 |
| 12 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 43 |
| 13 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 43 |
| 14 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | SouthportSouthport | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 41 |
| 16 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 41 |
| 17 | Buxton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 41 |
| 18 | Kettering TownKettering | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 38 |
| 19 | Blyth Spartans | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 36 |
| 20 | Boston UnitedBoston | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 34 |
| 21 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
| 22 | Leamington FCLeamington | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 33 |
| 23 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 |
| 24 | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
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