SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AFC Telford United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Alfreton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Banbury United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Chester FC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Chorley | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Chorley |
22.17% ( 0.42) | 26.41% ( 0.4) | 51.41% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 44.85% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.65% ( -1.02) | 58.35% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.03% ( -0.8) | 78.96% ( 0.8) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.11% ( -0.16) | 41.89% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.66% ( -0.14) | 78.34% ( 0.13) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( -0.79) | 22.83% ( 0.78) |
