SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | AFC Telford United |
54.02% ( 0) | 24.31% ( -0.01) | 21.67% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( 0.04) | 51.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( 0.04) | 72.91% ( -0.03) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 0.02) | 18.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.75% ( 0.03) | 50.25% ( -0.02) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.76% ( 0.03) | 38.24% ( -0.03) |
