SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Alfreton Town |
53.47% ( 0.01) | 24.03% ( -0) | 22.49% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( 0) | 49.07% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( 0) | 71.14% ( -0) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( 0) | 18.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.65% ( 0.01) | 49.34% ( -0.01) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.67% ( -0) | 36.32% ( 0) |
