SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 82.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 5.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.7%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Buxton |
82.42% ( 0.18) | 12.25% ( -0.06) | 5.32% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 39.42% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.79% ( -0.31) | 37.2% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.59% ( -0.33) | 59.41% ( 0.33) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.2% ( -0.03) | 6.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.91% ( -0.07) | 25.08% ( 0.07) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.3% ( -0.63) | 57.7% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.57% ( -0.35) | 89.43% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Buxton |
| 2-0 @ 14.17% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 82.4% | 1-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 12.26% | 0-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.57% Total : 5.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 77 | 34 | 43 | 75 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 59 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 50 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
| 9 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Brentford | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 37 |
| 13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 34 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 33 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 28 |
| 18 | Everton | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 28 |
| 19 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 27 |
| 20 | Southampton | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 24 |
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