SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
57.83% ( 0.03) | 22.88% ( -0.01) | 19.3% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( 0.05) | 48.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( 0.04) | 70.32% ( -0.04) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( 0.03) | 16.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.99% ( 0.05) | 46.01% ( -0.04) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.94% ( 0.02) | 39.06% ( -0.02) |
