SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Hereford United |
24.54% ( -0.05) | 24.83% ( -0.04) | 50.62% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.6% ( 0.13) | 50.4% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( 0.12) | 72.33% ( -0.12) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( 0.03) | 35.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.05% ( 0.04) | 71.95% ( -0.04) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( 0.09) | 19.91% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.95% ( 0.14) | 52.05% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 24.54% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.13% 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 50.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 45 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 82 | 43 | 39 | 90 |
| 2 | Fylde | 44 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 44 | 32 | 89 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 45 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 68 | 41 | 27 | 81 |
| 4 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 68 |
| 5 | Brackley Town | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 68 |
| 6 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Buxton | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 67 |
| 8 | Chorley | 45 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 66 |
| 9 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 66 |
| 10 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 65 |
| 11 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 71 | 65 | 6 | 65 |
| 12 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 65 |
| 13 | Darlington | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 71 | 64 | 7 | 64 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 55 |
| 16 | Boston UnitedBoston | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 53 |
| 18 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 71 | -21 | 51 |
| 19 | SouthportSouthport | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Kettering TownKettering | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 49 |
| 21 | Blyth Spartans | 45 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 45 |
| R | Leamington FCLeamington | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 45 |
| 23 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 44 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 43 |
| R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 45 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 34 | 72 | -38 | 32 |
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