SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
43.75% ( 0.01) | 26.04% ( 0) | 30.2% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.22% ( -0.03) | 51.78% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.45% ( -0.03) | 73.54% ( 0.03) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( -0.01) | 23.54% ( 0.01) |
