Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
0.67) 
-0.77) 
