SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Chorley |
30.42% ( -0.01) | 26.3% ( -0) | 43.27% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.28% ( 0) | 52.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.65% ( 0) | 74.35% ( -0.01) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( -0.01) | 31.79% ( 0) |
