Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
-1.07) 
0.05) 
