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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
61.75% ( 0.03) | 21.08% ( -0.01) | 17.16% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( 0.01) | 43.78% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( 0) | 66.17% ( -0) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.35% ( 0.01) | 13.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.18% ( 0.02) | 40.82% ( -0.02) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( -0.02) | 38.92% ( 0.02) |
