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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 25 | 48 |
2 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 43 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 6 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 5 | 34 |
5 | New England Revolution | 25 | 2 | 34 |
6 | Toronto | 26 | -6 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
55.41% ( 2.02) | 22.63% ( -0.41) | 21.96% ( -1.6) |
Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.35% ( 0.03) | 43.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.96% ( 0.03) | 66.04% ( -0.03) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.38% ( 0.7) | 15.62% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.38% ( 1.3) | 44.62% ( -1.3) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.2% ( -1.42) | 33.8% ( 1.42) |