Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
