Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
